Wednesday, December 30, 2020

Banned Name about things.

Pot 101 - for you people who are trying for first time or after a few decades off.


0) the LD50 for thc is 1300mg/kg. For a 100kg person, that’s 130 grams of pure thc. 4.5 ounces of pure thc. Bud averages less than 20% thc. So you would have to smoke 20 ounces of weed. To hit the ld50, and have a 50-50 chance of death. 

So no matter what, don’t go to the er, just call me. Lol  




1) edibles. Don’t. 

Seriously. Don’t. Wait until later. 

10mg doses in 100mg packages and you have no clue what to do.

(Cue stories about stupid reporters who eat the whole package and experience TRIPPING BALLS) 

These are perfect for deep pain and for sleep. 

Get indica. Take a quarter, wait 3 hours. Increase until giggles. 


The “problem” with edibles is that your body will continue to absorb thc from the edible until you are done digesting it. You gonna be high for hours. 

Which is perfect for sleeping. 


But you tried a quarter and nothing. So you ate the whole thing and nothing and three pieces later that pattern on the ceiling is soooooo pretty


2) vape pens - the ecig form is awesommmmeeee.

No smoke, no mess, this Is for me.  

(Popcorn lung? Lolololol. Nope. That happened to morons buying illegal crap, laced with vitamin D because it is healthier, right?!)

Benefits are huge. 

No fire, no smoke, sort of. No ash. Quicker. 


Dose titration: you take a hit, hold it, exhale. Tada. 

Wait a bit, pass it? We don’t pass anymore in the land of covid. 

Take another. Within a few hits, you get the giggles(sativa) or yawns(indica).

And this is what you think is what you are looking for but ....

But it is sooooooo easy to take five more hits. Hey, you are watching your show and ... laughing. 


3) bud - get some prerolled joints with filters. 

“But fire” shut up. 

Dosing is the same as a vape pen. 

But. 

And it is a huge butt. (Insert tasteless joke here)

If you put it down, it goes out. So you can’t JUST take another hit. 

And if you finish it, you have to find another one, meh, the couch is nice. 

There is a much better moderation with fire. 


An analogy:

Edibles would be like a time release sedative, takes forever, lasts forever. 

Vape is like a bottle of vodka on table next to the couch. 

Joints are like a beer. You have get up off the couch to get another cold one. 



Monday, July 27, 2020

things that have been happening that have not been public

I am keeping the details OFF of FACEBOOK.
IF you respect me, you will do the same. Thanks.
Feel free to comment here, etc etc etc.

There are instructions and consequences to ignoring the instructions. 
Feel free to do whatever the fuck that you want. But later, when you do not like the consequences, I will direct you to 

I am FINE. 
Please do not ask HOW I am doing, that makes me FEEL BAD. 

IF you have been to my house or slept in my bed or I have known you forever, feel free to bother me in private, calls and messages. 
Details will happen when details are available. etc. 

I am FINE. 
I have known about this for a while, and been preparing and getting my mind right. 

"What are you going to do??" 
Nothing, "planning" a LOT of time off, down time. 
"BUT" 
Please stop asking, you KNOW that I fucking share EVERYTHING on facebook, why do you think that .. 
"random text messages" 
oh my god 


My severance includes health and dental during the severance period. 
I am FINE. 
IF you are "worrying" about me, STOP RIGHT NOW. 
Worry about the people that trump is murdering. 

Current thoughts are Colorado for a month of ... nothing. 
Hiking, golf, friends and family, ...
This idea might still happen if I choose to MOVE.
But for now, sheltering in PLACE.

2020 07 31 - official last day

2020 07 27 - done and done and done and done - in the end, our POC was a success.  
Cleaning up a bit. Will meet with boss and team one last time to go over a couple details. I need to put some stuff in shared folders. etc. but ... really done with trying to finish anything.

2020 07 15 - daily status meeting - waiting for the meeting to start - pete needs to transition what he did
2020 07 15 - 5 people from my group were laid off, including my boss - the blood bath continues 
2020 07 15 - BOOM - call from HR and bosses boss - You last day will be 2020 07 31 (tiny chance that this could be extended to 2020 08 30) - no extension
2020 07 14 - daily status meeting 
2020 07 14 - met with JC to part three - the last bits and pieces that I NEEDED 
2020 07 13 - daily status meetings begin with new team 
2020 07 12 - more work 
2020 07 11 - wohoo THIS is running - more work 
2020 07 10 - literally spent more than 16 hours installing THIS. all because the idiots left out the first step 
2020 07 09 - met with JC to part two - "for your homework, install THIS" 
2020 07 08 - run run run new stuff 
2020 07 07 - met with JC to start learning new tech 
2020 07 06 - crazy pete asserted that he could learn new tech in a week 
2020 07 05 - Proof of Concept #002 
2020 07 02 - Proof of Concept #001 
2020 07 01 - more stuff 
2020 06 30 - meetings 
2020 06 29 - meetings 
2020 06 28 - sunday - lol worked 8+ hours - love this new project at the end of my job 
2020 06 27 - tired as fuck - worked 
2020 06 26 - drinks and dinner with the denise, read until stupid oclock 
2020 06 26 - sore from massage - idiot - started using some super cool new tech 
2020 06 25 - massage - super amazing massage with new masseuse 
2020 06 24 - in theory, this project could lead to consulting or a position in the future 
2020 06 23 - boss and I started working on a super cool new secret project for work. 
2020 06 22 - monday - first thing - I was informed. I was given the opportunity to look and apply 
2020 06 19 - friday - my boss found out that he was being laid off. And that I would be laid off.

26 fucking years, the same boss, the same company, dozens of different ceos and owners.
This is going to take a long time to completely process.
In the end, I have to decide WHO I am and what and where and when and why and how.
Asking me about those things is a STRESS
People who STRESS me will ... Consequences.

One clear thing is that I will be playing.
I need to work on some certifications if I am going to work again.
Another option is retiring.
Another is .... shrug

I have an infinite number of options.








Sunday, April 26, 2020

let your teenager sleep you fucking psychopath

I was triggered the other day by a parent whining about their teen staying up till 5am (doing HOMEWORK) and then wanting to sleep.
The parent, of course, woke the kid up, instead of letting them sleep.

My mother did this. For an infinite number of reasons, my mother was abusive.
Stop it.

1) teens need sleep. this is when their growth hormones peak. this is when you immune system peaks and works best. This is when your brain processes memories, doing what it does.
2) dont give a FUCK about you, or how you didnt need this. this isnt about YOU. this is about you, abusing your child.
3) but (insert asshole reasons for why YOU think that you should wake the kid up, just because you are up.
4) IT IS THE FUCKING PLAGUE. Everyone is trapped in the house. Everyone is different. STOP IT.
5) (Insert asshole reasons WHY they should obey your insane rules because "scoiety". And later, when they are acting out, and you have no clue why, yup, it is YOUR FAULT.
6) Why not just beat them? No really, beat them. Get a switch or a belt. And BEAT them whenever they dont fit your tiny minded view of the universe.

Yup, this happened to me constantly, at a time when I needed sleep the most, my insane mother refused to let me fucking sleep.
Didnt matter that I had been up working until 1am then doing what teens do. GET UP YOUR LAZY ... YOU'RE NOT SICK. JSUT LAZY.

Sure, YOU are a nice parent. You would never call them LAZY. Just wake them up because REASONS.
Sure, go ahead, explain this to your shrink, the CRITICAL NEED to maintain control over every aspect of life. How THIS will get your kid into the best school ... blah blah blah blah.

PRIORITIES
OBEY
OBEY

fuck it

Thursday, April 23, 2020

mothballing, check-pointing, thinking out-loud and the luchins trap

this is how to avoid the luchins trap

was literally just talking about THIS ... NOT the specific NA problem, but HOW do groups better share info when they no longer work in an office?
My "thought" was LUNCH, where we sit in hangout while eating lunch together and babble  about the most  recent strange thing that we had to research to solve. 
EVEN if we dont need it today, it gets slotted into strange memory, which we will "sort of remember" later.

FOR EXAMPLE ... something that just BLEW ME AWAY  ... and we should all start doing it regularly.

MothBalling / CheckpointingI had to mothball a project that I have been working on for 9 month/ 50 years.  I had copious hand written notes (hand writing is FASTER than typing and can be done anywhere).
I typed them all into OneNote, Organizing them as I went, which created new thoughts on how to solve the problem better, and more notes.
When I return to the project, it is MUCH better off than yesterday.
In the end, the process was a GIANT luchins thought experiment, forcing me to question every decision that I made from the start.

HOW often have we worked on a project, PLOWING AHEAD TO GET IT DONE, only to whoops, this isnt going to work.
Checkpointing every week or month forces you to collect your thoughts and WRITE THEM DOWN.  The act of doing this forms new pathways, and is insane useful.

HOW many times, has the act of asking the question "hey brian/james, how do I do this" help formulate the question: IF I can not explain the question to you, there is NO WAY that I actually understand the question.  
We see this ALL of the time when trying to formulate a search question on google.

Friday, April 3, 2020

thred jacks are always threadjacks

I have boycotted him ever since his daughter's letter, despite having at the time just bought one of his movies. I found the letter credible. I never watched the film I bought. I will never watch another film of his again. We have a culture that has abused and exploited women and girls and silenced them and celebrated the abusers. We will continue to have such a culture as long as people don't take a stand.
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Peter Cibulskis
Peter Cibulskis did you read the moses article posted above?
aka, the only older child in the room?
whose testimony ended every criminal investigation?…See More
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· Reply · 11m
Clare Pearson
Clare Pearson Peter Cibulskis There is a lot of mess around this, but I am not convinced. Woody Allen has always raised potential abuser vibes in me. Survivors mess up their recollections, but it doesn't mean abuse didn't happen. Family members can become convinced …See More
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Peter Cibulskis
Peter Cibulskis that's great. and lies
there is no mess. there is mia farrow.
the victim had implanted memories. …See More
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· Reply · 4m
Clare Pearson
Clare Pearson Peter Cibulskis We don't know what happened to her. But I will respect her voice and give her the benefit of the doubt over him. And in my experience, crazy women don't get that way all on their own. But her mother is not the issue.
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Peter Cibulskis
Peter Cibulskis The first article and the second article are about a specific case. you changed the topic to talk about generalities, that's nice. but belongs else where. You should have that conversation there.
Go ahead and list a point in the first article ... and why you agree or disagree. Unless your goal is whataboutism
1
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· Reply · 3m
Clare Pearson
Clare Pearson Peter Cibulskis Nope. This is a general principle for me. We CANNOT ever adjudicate a rape case based on hearsay, & we do not have the right to judge intimate violations in peoples' lives. We have to have enough humility to realize and admit that. We d…See More
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Peter Cibulskis
Peter Cibulskis you have confused my understand of the general, with posting about the specific. I get it.
thank you for not discusing either article.
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Clare Pearson
Clare Pearson And anything else feels to me dangerously close to mansplaining a victim's experience. Won't go there.
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Clare Pearson
Clare Pearson Peter Cibulskis No, Peter, I am not confused. You are missing my point.

recommendations

PETE LOVES TO RECOMMEND FRIDAY

It is probably one of my greatest pleasures, recommending a book to a friend, that I think that THEY will love. (NOT my favorites) For the SCIENCE NERDS on the SCIENCE of RECOMMENDING, read Stumbling on Happiness, dan gilbert.
Be warned, it will change your mind.

Nothing warms me more, than when someone says, WHY DIDNT YOU TELL ME SOONER?????

Pick your favorite recommendation from me and post it here.
Could be a book or show or movie or song.

you can PM me if you are too embarrassed

You can also remind me of something that YOU introduced me to, that I would NEVER had experienced without you.

I only have a FEW of my own that come to mind.
Terry Green - The Way of Kings - Sanderson
Terry FORCED ME TO READ A BOOK, that I had bought when it came out, and left on the pile to read ... for maybe 5 years. And one day Terry said. STFU, PUT EVERYTHING DOWN, READ THIS NOW.
Terry is the only person I currently trust with this level of recommendation.

Dawn Cassello - my oldest friend. <3 I have know her, since my first class at WY. in 1978. As a transfer student who knew no one, in a class filled with upperclassmen, I was only 1-3 years younger than everyone.
I can only assume that I have Dawn to blame for Xanth, the dragonbone chair. and Amber !!
Her latest recommendation was HBO - Euphoria.
I havent finished it. I ... not sure that I want to. But ... it is close to perfect. so ending it would be sad.
Dawn - I give you, To Reign in Hell. Read the introduction by Zelazny!!!!!
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B003E74AL6/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_hsch_vapi_tkin_p2_i1
Check your email

Tim (ANNNNNNNNN)
My little sister Ann recommended a book, on or about 1992.
It sat on the pile for YEARS, she actually TOOK IT BACK about 1999 to reread, and then GAVE IT BACK TO ME YELLING - READ THIS NOW, YOU WILL LOVE IT.
The book has THE WORST WORST WORST cover of all time. A chick in mail on a horse, being attacked by wolves.
It looked like crappy gothic romance, YAWN.
So, I have only reread it .... 3-4 times now, and the prequels. (some good some bad) the later ones are .... mem ... mixed
But The DEED
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00APA1E96/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1
The pacing of this book is perfect. Slow slow boom.
Slow slow boom.
Slow when you are learning new things, BOOM when it gets to where it is going.


You can also remind me of something that YOU introduced me to, that I would NEVER had experienced without you.



There is a MAGIC to recommending (ok science). It is NOT about you. It is NOT about your favorite. It is about knowing someone well enough, to think that they would LIKE something.
IT is NOT about your favorite.

9001 people told me that Raiders was the best movie in the universe and I should see it now!!! YOU WILL LOVE IT. BUT, the people recommending it were DIVERSE, and none of them had similar taste, and when I finally saw it, I hated it. It was at best, a 5.

And I have been doing this all my life.
It started with trying to FORCE people to read things that I LIKED.
LOL
that never works. Ask poor Ashley Eberhart (my godaughter) I buried her in books. LOL

Monday, March 30, 2020

green chef

I do keto, cause TRYING FUCKING STICK TO KETO ... and I am crazy healthier with no carbs

BUT, you can switch ....
in theory, each week you can pick different recipes ... for a few weeks out.

I CRAZY CRAZY CRAZY CRAZY recommend it. I ... have finished them ALL !! lol

1) I get 3, 2-person meals each week. which means 6 meals for me. typically lunch and dinner. or like yesterday and tonight, two dinners.

2) trina and scott and denise are HOOKED
Denise's daughters were like MOM YOU CAN COOK?!!!

3) 30 minutes start to finish. so for me, NO PLANNING .... lol
SOME recipes call for baking in the oven, fuck that shit, I cut them into piecces and stir fry.

4) CRAZY nice way to try new things ....
cumin seed, onions and cabbage? ZERO chance that I would ever have eaten that. I now buy cabbage just to make my own ... hahaha

5) good portions ... smaller than I want, but I am fatter than I want. so perfect. hahaha

I think ... I have had ONE thing that was 3/5. everything else was a solif 4 or 5. FFS, I scrape the bowl. LOLOL

and ... other than a little slicing and needing two pans ... really easy to make. simple recipes.

dont get me wrong you can cook. I can cook.
BUT ... no measuring ... jsut open packets, dump stir

I have bought 2-3 different spices because of them ... mmmmmmmmm

Can you TELL that I like them??

2020 03 30 - AFTER the desktop exploded - and what I KNOW so far.

so ... to let you know where I am on THE DESKTOP OF DEATH

1) I tried replacing my C drive with a NEW C DRIVE (aka, old one laying around)
THis was still a CLUSTERFUCK FROM HELL

2) UNPLUGGED and removed 100% of ALL OTHER DRIVES ...all 4 of them
OH LOOK ... I was able to EASILY install windows on the NEW DRIVE,

Desktop is totally UP AND RUNNING, FASTER than ever, HOW EXCITING.

TAKE AWAY ....
1) my original C drive was PROBABLY NOT THE PROBLEM (might have been two bad drives, but really??)
2) NEXT STEP - PUT the original C drive BACK INTO THE MACHINE and confirm one way or the other.

Either way.
1) I have a NEW NEW C drive that arrived yesterday - so if the ORG C is dead, I can COPY to NEW and TADA
2) OMFG a clean install is SO FUCKING FAST .... waht is wrong with us ?? HAHAHA
3) FUCKING MAKE SURE that you have offline backups (check), restore points (have them but bad drives= lol), recovery images and what nots

also, learning some STRANGE new things about windows to share later .... LOLOLOL

MY GOD I LOVE Nvme drives.

Thanks again

FIND that awesome flowchart and use it for debugging in the future ... LOLOLOL

Thursday, March 19, 2020

NORMALLY I would get whiny about "do you own googling", but I have known tony for an ungodly long time. lol

for the best aggregate corona numbers, I get them here. MOSTLY because I can cut and paste the grid into a spreadsheet.
(THey have citations, going to first sources, lol I was looking at a korean newspaper link in hangul.)

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

For the flu, my go to source is the CDC
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm
They are estimates for this season in the US, you can find all the other seasons there too.
10 to 20% infection rate.
~0.1% CFR

And I found THIS article, on HOW to Calculate CFR during an outbreak to be ... informative.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/#correct

Sure, we wont know the "exact number" for ...well, we never will.
We will always have to estimate. But the accuracy will improve.
At some point we will have massive amounts of random, community testing, to determine the true infection rate. Unless 60% gets it, and then well, we dont need a better answer than CRAP THAT WAS A LOT.

The CFR gets harder, if you have the flu, and get this, did the flu kill you, CV19, both? How does it get reported?

And .... if we get the NIGHTMARE 1 to 6 million dead, will we actually be able to determine what they all actually died from?

here's to hoping that we slowed this enough ...

my job and recessions

This is the fourth time that I have been through a recession during my carrier and the answer is sort of still the same.
I have worked for companies that collect data, repackage it for manufacturers and retailers.

1990-1991
After the lengthy peacetime expansion of the 1980s, inflation began to increase and the Federal Reserve responded by raising interest rates from 1986 to 1989. This weakened but did not stop growth, but some combination of the subsequent 1990 oil price shock, the debt accumulation of the 1980s, and growing consumer pessimism combined with the weakened economy to produce a brief recession.

March 2001-Nov 2001
After the lengthy peacetime expansion of the 1980s, inflation began to increase and the Federal Reserve responded by raising interest rates from 1986 to 1989. This weakened but did not stop growth, but some combination of the subsequent 1990 oil price shock, the debt accumulation of the 1980s, and growing consumer pessimism combined with the weakened economy to produce a brief recession

The great Recession 2007/2008

And Trump's Depression 2020

The answer has always been the same. There is tightening, but manufacturers and retailers need the data even more.

Corona from the other side.

When we come out the other side, there will be some clear changes to society, or in the very least, MANY MORE PEOPLE will be asking ...

Why do I spend all my time driving to the office, when I spent the last 6 months working from home?

Now that I have spent the last 6 months with my natural hair color, why would I spend the time and money chasing that absurd definition of beauty? Chasing that dream of delaying admitting that I am aging?

Now that people that I know personally have had their lives taken from them because of greed, will I tolerate this continuing?

Families and friends spending more time in small groups, dining in, drinking in, gaming in, or watching together, or reading and talking, or art and crafting, or writing, or not running the rat race.

What other "obvious" changes might we see?

Tuesday, March 17, 2020

2020 03 17 - corona - predictions using cases per million as a predictor

my life is numbers. -
two weeks.
34,000 ICU cases (including deaths)

Crap ... I just ...
Italy has 520 cases per Million, Japan? 7. Why so different? Is it JUST that the Japanese bow?

So when you LOOK at the data as CASES per MILLION.
(the US is at 19, but that's because we are only testing royalty and millionaires)
Looking at this metric is a different way of thinking about HOW BAD WILL IT GET.

China, Korea, Italy
56, 152, 520
18,000; 53,000; 170,000

IF we had teh same quarantine as china, we would expect 18,000 cases. Korea is in the middle.
We went the route of Italy. Little to no quarantine. No testing. Lying about the problem.
So we should expect 170,000 cases.
In the next two weeks.
WHOOPS, we dont have any testing.

sure, those 80% of those 170,000 will be mild/recover.
but 34,000 will be in the ICU and probably die.

two weeks
Anyone want to bet that NONE OF THIS WILL HAPPEN?

If one of your nutter friends is still in denial, have them come here and bet me. Strange, if you wont bet, you must think that you are wrong, right?? LOL

Monday, March 16, 2020

MUCH WORSE

so most of your facts are wrong
1) not 60k, 30-50k but FINE slightly over stated.
2) the flu is trivial. what about the 650,000 every year from heart disease. IF NUMBERS were all that mattered, we wouldn't spend a second talking about 30-60k from the flu and spend ALL of our time and effort on HD
3) "they deserve it" - only BAD people get heart disease and die. IF THEY ONLY OBEYED US and blah blah diet and exercise. they wouldnt have died. Bullshit christian "you sinned and deserve to die" bullshit.

SO WHY is THIS different?
Like the FLU, if I am sick, I can walk up to YOU, INFECT YOU, you being completely innocent, now DIE a slow painful death.
So The Flu and CV19 are about ME attacking you and killing you, while fat people committing suicide of heart disease is JUSTICE!!! (shudder no I dont think that way, but society sure does)

SO WHY IS CV19 different than the flu?
Well, IF we did NOTHING. ZERO.
No closing of nothing. business as usual. Everyone goes to work. plays outside. eats drinks and infects EVERYONE, just like we do with the FLU!!
We would be looking at 3 to 12 MILLION dead. So ... a LOT more than the flu.

Because we have vaccines, and even without everyone getting a vaccine, we get herd immunity.
The flu only infects 10 to 20%. And only kills 0.1%
This is low enough that we morally dont give a fuck about the 30,000 dead. (otherwise vaccines would be legally mandatory).

CV19 is ... FUCKING INSANE.
no vaccine. we have no vaccine for the common cold (which some is caused by CV1-18 lol maybe not their names)
So ZERO immunity. Zero herd immunity.
The experts are assuming/predicting 60% infection rate. SIX TIMES the FLU. So even if the death rate was the same as the flu, that would be 200,000 dead!! which is crazy talk. AND, it skews old. For some reason, we are FINE with school kids getting gunned down, but have a problem with letting grandma die (christian bullshit again. HONOR THY PARENTS!!!)

But wait, there's more.
We can only estimate CV19 CFR (death rate). We have science to do the estimation. There are a ton of different methods, they all have problems, but so what. Estimate and act on the estimate, or do nothing and potentially kill MILLIONS?
So the estimate is anywhere from 3.4% (the WHO) to OH FUCK
China's CFR is ~4 to 4.5 and the chinese data is SUSPECT.
Their number of new deaths dropped to zero. from hundreds a day.

The numbers out of Italy are FUCKING INSANE. much much much worse than china, even adjusting for LOTS OF OLD italians.

So ... Assume the CFR is 3%. That is 30x the CFR for the flu.
So instead of 30,000 dead, you would have 900,000 DEAD!!
And that's if only 10% get infected.
IF 60% get infected, that's 6 million.

blah blah "we dont know"
We don't know is not science. It is people who dont comprehend science being confused about numbers.

We dont KNOW the exact number of infections, all the mild ones.
True, BUT we have ENOUGH data from Korea to ESTIMATE.
Korea has done more testing than any other country, by a LARGE margin. They have a LOW infection rate, because they started testing and shutting down RIGHT AWAY.

(taiwan, with their NATIONAL PUBLIC HEALTH DATABASE, has basically stopped the infection cold. so far)

So ... the US
a) we assume that cv19 is EVERYWHERE ... there are cases in every state.
b) which means that the virus GOT THERE 1-2 weeks ago. WHOOPS
c) so .... statistically, esp in a big city, IF YOU went outside in the last 2 weeks, there is every chance that you got infected and have been spreading it. WHOOPS
d) holy crap this is getting long ... call me tomorrow, I am home and bbored bored bored bored ... and NO wont meet up with you in the real world. I would feel bad about killing you  

Sunday, March 15, 2020

Timeline of lies

This is a timeline of Trump’s response to the coronavirus epidemic:

January 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China. It’s going to be just fine.”

February 2: “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.”

February 24: “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA… Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”

February 25: “CDC and my Administration are doing a GREAT job of handling Coronavirus.”

February 25: “I think that's a problem that’s going to go away… They have studied it. They know very much. In fact, we’re very close to a vaccine.”

February 26: “The 15 (cases in the US) within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero.”

February 26: “We're going very substantially down, not up.”

February 27: “One day it’s like a miracle, it will disappear.”

February 28: “It’s all turning, they lost, it’s all turning. Think of it. Think of it. And this is their new hoax. But you know, we did something that’s been pretty amazing. We’re 15 people [cases of coronavirus infection] in this massive country. And because of the fact that we went early, we went early, we could have had a lot more than that.”

February 28: “We're ordering a lot of supplies. We're ordering a lot of, uh, elements that frankly we wouldn't be ordering unless it was something like this. But we're ordering a lot of different elements of medical.”

March 2: “You take a solid flu vaccine, you don't think that could have an impact, or much of an impact, on corona?”

March 2: “A lot of things are happening, a lot of very exciting things are happening and they’re happening very rapidly.”

March 4: “If we have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better just by, you know, sitting around and even going to work — some of them go to work, but they get better.”

March 5: “I NEVER said people that are feeling sick should go to work.”

March 5: “The United States… has, as of now, only 129 cases… and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!”

March 6: “I think we’re doing a really good job in this country at keeping it down… a tremendous job at keeping it down.”

March 6: “Anybody right now, and yesterday, anybody that needs a test gets a test. They’re there. And the tests are beautiful…. the tests are all perfect like the letter was perfect. The transcription was perfect. Right? This was not as perfect as that but pretty good.”

March 6: “I like this stuff. I really get it. People are surprised that I understand it… Every one of these doctors said, ‘How do you know so much about this?’ Maybe I have a natural ability. Maybe I should have done that instead of running for president.”

March 6: “I don't need to have the numbers double because of one ship that wasn't our fault.”

March 8: “We have a perfectly coordinated and fine tuned plan at the White House for our attack on CoronaVirus.”

March 9: “This blindsided the world.”

March 13: “I don’t take responsibility at all.”

meh

Friday, March 13, 2020

33,000 to 330,000 dead - crude envelope calc

so ... unless we use even more DRACONIAN measures, like china, locking down EVERY city, well, the numbers are unbelievable

For example, we do not NEED to know anything, we can ESTIMATE, and have RANGES, from HOLY FUCKING SHIT, to meh, we got lucky.

For example, we can use the flu. 10% infection rate. 0.1% CFR (death rate).
So pretend that CV is EXACTLY as bad as the flu, not worse, not milder.

(forget about the over crowded hospitals focus on two numbers. and all the other nightmares)
33,000,000 will catch it. 33,000 will die.

BUT we KNOW that the estimated CFR is MUCH higher. We would be doing NOTHING if it was only 0.1%
So let's use a low number, 1% CFR - 10 times worse than the flu.
OUCH 330,000 dead. this would be insane.
3.4%, the official CFR estimate
1,000,000 dead.

SO we are reacting the way that we are, TRYING to slow and stop the spread, we COULD lower the infection rate. TADA

Fuck it, you get the picture.
Without draconian measures, we will have a lot of dead people. Or dodge YET ANOTHER health nightmare.
I AM SO GLAD that rich people got tax cuts, and you are STILL LOOKING FOR HER EMAILS.

Thursday, March 12, 2020

lol poker and ipad

so my old mens club (think trading places), has an annual poker tournament. But chicago sucks, so we cant play for money, so they have prizes for the top three.
Now I have played a TON of texas holdem, here, vegas, indiana, at home.
BUT ... there is skill and luck.

So there were 100-150 maybe 200 players.
And YAY I made it the final table!!
And I have been at final tables before, I have busted on the fucking bubble, I know the story. about half did, half sucked.
10 of us and I am small stack not terrible, but close. and ... grinded out to the bubble.
made the money top three ...
But still small stack, maybe 1/10th of what the leader had.
And grinded MORE ...
And got lucky on the next to last hand and won.
but it was an accident ... lol
second place and I chuckled ... we both KNEW that it was pure random bullshti luck that I won.

yet another list of shows to watch

I stopped saying which service.
Most of the services have cheap or free trial services, do it. Worth it.


Netflix - Carnival Row - fantasy/murder mystery - beautiful - bonus orlando bloom. and ... some of the scenes ... HAWT
Netflix - Altered Carbon - SciFi - VERY good adaptation of some books that I love. Some VERY interesting stuff.
Mindhunter
Killing Eve
Doctor Foster
Prime Suspect - Helen Mirren - cop show, FUCKING the best ever
Silk - British Legal system - crazy good
The Newsroom - Aaron Sorkin's magnum opus - jeff daniels and the rest of the cast ... literally will make you hate faux news more than you do now.
Dark Crystal
The Mandalorian
The Dark Crystal !!! Deet and Hop ... holy crap ...
The End of the Fucking World - INSANELY quirky ... I have only done the first season and should do the next one. heh

Amazon Prime ish - A Discovery of Witches - shut up, watch this, thank me later.

OOOOOOO
Netflix - Travelers - some of the best scifi that you will ever watch. FUCK. Some of the storylines are .... soul shattering.
Orphan black, first season for sure
The good place, esp season one.
Absurd and worth the laugh

lucifer
sherlock


Saving Grace - Hulu (free trial SHUT UP ABOUT COST ... is nothing for a month and you will need it and can cancel)
My good ...As a devout Atheist, Saving Grace ... Holly Hunter is the BEST. And Earl. and Leon Cooley.
Will break your soul.
Dorothy Murray Loth - start here.
Seriously .... laughs and thoughts and Earl


OOOOOOO
Netflix - Travelers - some of the best scifi that you will ever watch. FUCK. Some of the storylines are .... soul shattering.
Orphan black, first season for sure
The good place, esp season one.
Absurd and worth the laugh

the umbrella academy was a SLOW BURN, getting better and better and better until BOOM

russian doll is amazing ...

afterlife , season one and two. Andrew Lincoln and Lesley Sharp.
amazing stories .... suspension of disbelief was trivial for me, and that is not normal

BSG - ESP the miniseries that starts it.
SURE it's about the END OF EVERYTHING and fleeing for your life, BUT the writing is amazing. the acting is perfect. and ... sigh.
The first Episode of season one is the tightest written show that I have ever seen.
https://www.amazon.com/.../B000.../ref=atv_wl_hom_c_unkc_1_5
First two seasons are amazing to sublime, the show gets lost, but ends well.

B5

SG1 SGA lots of hit and miss.
SGU (best of the three)

Buffy

Monday, March 2, 2020

someone you know will die

.98 chance of not dying.
My immediate family is 30 people.
.54 chance of someone not dying.
50-50 chance that someone in my immediate family will die.
Whoops

114
228
If you know 114 people, there is a 90% chance that one of them will die.
If you know 228 people, there is a 99% chance that one of them will die.

Friday, February 28, 2020

When do you buy

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/02/28/apple-is-now-down-more-than-20percent-from-its-record-making-it-among-the-hardest-hit-dow-stocks.html

Watch

Farscape - peacekeeper war (many flaws, but the black whole scene at end was perfection)
BSG -   Exodus part 2. The fighters launching after the galatica jumped into the atmosphere. Epic. 
BSG - sometimes a great notion. Things that you notice about dee, only with rewatching. FUCK
Buffy - the body. 
Dr who. The girl in the fireplace. Or all of the river song episodes. 
Sg1 - 100 days and window of opportunity. 
SGU - gauntlet 
B5 - the fall of night and dust to dust
TSCC - the last four episodes. Derek getting shot. FML
House - broken. And head/heart. 

Immortality means an eternity of living with what we’ve done.

meh

Wednesday, February 26, 2020

god dammit

Well... I'm at emergency room ðŸ˜ª today was not a good day! I decided to step out of my comfort zone and go horseback riding. I have done this before! It turned out to be a big mistake! I got on the horse and started out slow, but then we went a little faster. Before I knew it, we were going as fast as the horse could go. I couldn't take the pace and fell off, but caught my foot in the stirrup with the horse dragging me. It wouldn't stop! Thank goodness the manager at Walmart came out and unplugged the machine!

Shut up and drink it

https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/carbonated-water-good-or-bad


Friday, February 21, 2020

shut the fuck up and watch this now

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0709216/





Thursday, February 20, 2020

Offline

Caught a great npr.
Emancipation!

https://www.google.com/search?q=hair+love&rlz=1C9BKJA_enUS884US884&hl=en-US&prmd=vni&sxsrf=ACYBGNTysPQ5oMf7vAtTGY6bSRR_nc0vuw:1580494633281&source=lnms&tbm=vid&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiPp76pua7nAhWtmHIEHea7DJIQ_AUoAXoECBUQAQ&biw=1194&bih=721


get your DAMN FLU SHOTS !! DUH!!!
https://abc7.com/amp/5890408/

well we knew that this was the likely outcome. abuse of body? he buried her, HOW is that abusive??
https://abcnews.go.com/US/slain-alabama-woman-texted-friends-trouble-died-accidental/story?id=68660579



Ugh. Microwave won’t run on. Even with slamming door and turning turn table. Heh.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/01/us/politics/des-moines-register-polls-iowa-caucus.html
Shitty poll about a shitty caucus.

Boom
https://www.universetoday.com/119733/how-quickly-does-a-supernova-happen/

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/SN_1987A

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sanduleak_-69_202
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neutrino_astronomy

Here’s a thought - Bernie and his bro’s can’t handle reality during the primaries (proved in 2016 and again now), how the FUCK are they going to survive if he is the nominee and the gop hate machine kicks into full gear??

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/11/2/16588964/america-epistemic-crisis

https://cyber.harvard.edu/publications/2017/08/mediacloud


http://wilkins.law.harvard.edu/projects/2017-08_mediacloud/Graphics/Fig7_11.pdf

https://www.polygon.com/tv/2020/2/20/21146152/the-mandalorian-making-of-video-unreal-engine-projection-screen?ICID=ref_fark

It's not enough to live. You have to have something to live for.

FUCK AMERICA
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rules-mexican-parents-can-t-sue-border-patrol-n1142486?utm_source=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_content=link&ICID=ref_fark







Friday, February 14, 2020

I've got frontal lobe on my instep.
- as greeting go, I've had warmer.

I should not be left alone.
https://www.etsy.com/listing/220301773/washable-toilet-paperfamily-cloth?gpla=1&gao=1&&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIi_HhlaHS5wIVzJyzCh3Eage8EAQYAyABEgLx6vD_BwE&utm_source=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_content=link&ICID=ref_fark